Tuesday, 30 December 2025

Summary - SH

1) Yemen, Libya, Somalia, and Sudan all show how modern conflicts are drifting toward fragmentation rather than resolution. In each case, weak central authority, rival armed groups, and heavy foreign involvement have produced frozen wars or outright state collapse. Yemen risks de facto partition, Libya is stuck in a permanent east–west split, Somalia lives with normalized fragmentation, and Sudan has plunged into a center-on-center war. The common thread is managed disorder: outside powers contain instability, local elites entrench control, and national unity becomes a secondary goal rather than the endgame. 2) Modern warfare today is less about a single game-changing weapon and more about constant adjustment. Drones watch, harass, and slow the enemy, but they rarely deliver a knockout blow. Wars are still decided on the ground, by soldiers, tanks, and artillery holding territory, while manned aircraft provide the weight and precision of force needed to shift momentum. Navies, too, are changing as unmanned systems take on bigger roles. In the end, victory comes from combining new technologies with traditional forces, adapting faster than the opponent, and shaping tactics to the terrain and the moment. 3) “I can’t carry the world on my shoulders — I can barely carry my winter coat.” ~ Franz Kafka, Letters “It is not titles that honour men, but men that honour titles.” ~ Niccolò Machiavelli “Human beings are born with different capacities. If they are free, they are not equal. And if they are equal, they are not free.” ~ Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn

Saturday, 20 December 2025

Summary - SH

1) Yemen, Libya, Somalia, and Sudan all show how modern conflicts are drifting toward fragmentation rather than resolution. In each case, we...